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Machine Learning Project

Securing $800,000 in Revenue:

An E-Commerce Churn Prediction Engine

Leveraging machine learning to identify at-risk customers and implement targeted retention strategies that reduce churn from 16.8% to below 12%, saving approximately 270 customers and $236K in immediate revenue.

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%

Model Accuracy

Decision Tree Classifier

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%

Current Churn Rate

947 of 5,630 customers

0

K

Revenue at Risk

Immediate intervention needed

0

K

Annual Retention Potential

With targeted strategies

The Pitch

Watch the complete project presentation explaining the business problem, technical approach, and strategic recommendations.

Duration: 5:30 minutes
Presented by: Souravdeep Singh

Executive Summary

This project addresses a critical business challenge: 16.8% customer churn resulting in significant revenue loss for an e-commerce platform serving 5,630 customers.

Using advanced machine learning techniques, I developed a predictive model achieving 89.3% accuracy that identifies at-risk customers before they churn, enabling proactive intervention strategies.

Key Discoveries:

  • Early Tenure Crisis: 0-3 month customers show ~50% churn rate
  • Complaint Impact: Customers with complaints have 31.7% churn (2x higher)
  • Cashback Paradox: Mid-satisfaction (3-4 score) customers with low cashback usage at highest risk
  • Projected Impact: Targeted strategies could reduce churn to below 12%, saving ~270 customers

Business Impact

Customers Saved ~270
Immediate Revenue $236K
Annual Potential $800K
Churn Reduction 29%

Model Performance

Accuracy
89.3%
Churner Recall
52%
AUC Score
0.88

Project Journey

Navigate through each phase of the analysis

Project Resources

Download presentation materials and access code repositories

Presentation Deck

Complete analysis presentation with business recommendations

Download PPT

Code Repository

Full analysis code, model training, and evaluation scripts

View on GitHub

Jupyter Notebook

Interactive analysis notebook with detailed methodology

Download Notebook

Tableau Dashboard

Interactive visualizations on Tableau Public

Open Tableau